Alternative Investments

Contrarian voices grew louder in October while Nvidia’s Jensen Huang warned that “China will win the AI race”. Nonetheless, October proved positive for hedge funds, despite brief market volatility tied to US-China trade developments.

September broke with its reputation for subdued volatility as global risk assets extended their summer rally.

Activity paused leading up to the Jackson Hole Economic Symposium, where a potential pivot in Federal Reserve policy was revealed by Chairman Jerome Powell, hinting at a possible easing cycle.

Merger Arbitrage ist eine ausgeklügelte Anlagestrategie, die bei Fusionen und Übernahmen die Preisdifferenz zwischen dem Aktienkurs eines Zielunternehmens auf dem Markt und dem Übernahmepreis ausnutzt.

As Lionel Richie put it in his 1980’s hit, “What is happening here? Something’s going on that’s not quite clear.”

Markets have benefited from the de-escalation of the tariffs narrative but uncertainty levels remain very high.

Wir haben die Allokation zwischen Aktien und Anleihen kürzlich analysiert und die Frage gestellt, 'Ist 40/30/30 das neue 60/40?' Nun, ja, wir denken schon. Unsere Analyse zeigt eine langfristige Korrelation zwischen Aktien und festverzinslichen Wertpapieren, die beängstigend nahe bei 1,0 liegt. Diese erhöhte Korrelation verändert die Wirksamkeit der traditionellen Portfoliokonstruktion grundlegend.

Liberation Day was a shock for investors, causing a tremendous impact on financial markets. Hard-data economic indicators continue to hold up but are pointing to a deceleration.

Markets remained volatile during the month of March. The primary concern isn’t the weakening economic fundamentals, but rather investors’ doubts about the credibility and stability of the U.S.

The global economy experienced a mild slowdown due to a lower contribution of services to the World PMI and lower consumer participation.

A relatively buoyant environment for Equity Market Neutral strategies.

Investors had a few months to get mentally prepared for the return of Donald Trump to the White House. While he has not disappointed and started his second term with a bang, the real surprise came from China with the introduction of DeepSeek to the world. The results announced by this technology company had the effect of a financial quake towards some of the star market performers over the last quarters.

En ce début d’année 2025, l’arrivée à la Maison Blanche du nouveau Président génère de nombreuses incertitudes. Les stratégies de merger arbitrage (arbitrage de fusions-acquisitions) n’échappent pas à la question : Quels impacts peut-on attendre du changement d’administration sur cette classe d’actifs ?

This year, the Christmas rally came a month earlier, and Santa Claus has moved from the North Pole to Florida. During December, some of the “Trump trade” winners gave back part of the previous month gains.

Although financial markets were already pricing a higher probability of a Donald Trump win coming into the US election, during November, asset prices were mainly driven by the election results.

During October, markets moved to price in a return of Donald Trump to the White House – and were ultimately proved right.

After an uncertain and relatively volatile summer, September brought some good news for investors.

It is not unusual for markets to experience volatility spikes during lighter trading volume summer periods.

The month of June was relatively noisy for markets, especially in Europe where geopolitical risk remains one of investors’ primary areas for concern. In the US, the latest macroeconomic data continues to indicate that the Fed might succeed in piloting the economy to a soft landing.

Risk appetite returned to markets after a cooling period during April. Economic indicators in western economies continue to point to a phase of deceleration across most economic powerhouses, but there is no evidence of severe recession looming. However, there is proof of increasing dispersion across financial assets returns and risk premia.

After five months of gains, equities finished down in April in a relatively volatile market. Although the EPS beat/raise has been high, markets focused more on top-down factors than micro news-flow.

Markets held up well during March, supported by robust economic indicators coming from the US, manufacturing and services PMIs improving in China and an increasingly dovish stance from the ECB.

Since the market has incorporated the fact that there would be fewer rate cuts by the Federal Reserve and they would probably come later than expected at the end of 2023, core equity indices have continued to perform well in Northern America and Western Europe.

Has commercial real estate reached its inflection point? With little transaction activity, price and index data are generated with a lag. Market prices can change much more rapidly than they can be aggregated and reported. Investors must rely on fundamental analysis and experience more than data to time the recovery.