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Geopolitical fragmentation, investing in a multipolar world

Geopolitics is now a market force

As the world fragments, Europe is mobilising — channelling substantial investment programmes into AI chips, clean energy, research and defence to reduce dependencies and strengthen competitiveness.

This shift is not short-term. It marks a structural transformation where resilience, independence, and sustainability are becoming the new drivers of growth.

From policy to portfolios

Within this new environment, capital is being redirected toward the infrastructure, energy, defence, and critical materials that underpin economic and political resilience.

Our paper Geopolitical Fragmentation: Investing in a Multipolar World distils what this means for asset allocators:

  • which supply chains are being rebuilt,
  • where capital expenditure is set to compound,
  • and how to position across infrastructure, energy, defence and critical materials.

 

Read the full research paper

Key messages

Resilience is the new growth driver

Countries are prioritising resilience in infrastructure, energy, technology and security. Modernised energy grids, digital infrastructure, and robust logistics networks will underpin both economic stability and new investment opportunities.

Reshoring creates an industrial renaissance

Massive public funding in the U.S., EU, and Asia is driving the relocation of critical industries such as semiconductors, pharmaceuticals, and green technologies. This reshoring trend creates opportunities across among others automation, industrial equipment, and regional logistics

Strategic autonomy as a global trend

Europe, the U.S., Japan, and India are rolling out large-scale industrial policies (Horizon Europe, RePowerEU, Chips Acts, Inflation Reduction Act). For investors, this provides a transparent and lasting policy framework that supports key industries and strengthen long-term competitiveness.

Strategic resilience and geopolitics

Efforts to secure energy, materials, and technology supply chains have become central to economic policy, reinforcing the link between resilience and competitiveness in a multipolar world. Especially Europe is becoming increasingly aware of this, witness the massive investment programmes guiding the region to more strategic resilience and autonomy.

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Ken Van Weyenberg & Johan Van der Biest
Head of Client Portfolio Management Fundamental Equity & Head of Thematic Global Equity
Resilience is becoming the cornerstone of sustainable growth redefining how investors capture opportunity in a multipolar world

Discover a practical framework to capture long-term opportunities in a multipolar world

A US perspective  

Discover an analysis by our colleagues from New York Life Investments, on how investors can adapt to a shifting world order. 
(content in English only)

Download the report

Go further. Explore, invest, connect

Interested in understanding how geopolitical shifts translate into investment opportunities?

Our experts can help you navigate these long-term trends and identify the right thematic solutions for your portfolios.

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