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Middle East Conflict

Asset Allocation, Geopolitics
Coordinated U.S. and Israeli strikes against Iran began on Saturday 28 February, while Iranian retaliation has spread across the region. Without any clearly stated intentions or objectives on the part of the United States of America, these events give rise to numerous hypotheses and uncertainties for the region in the coming months, as well as risks for investors.
  • Equities, AI, Felix Demaeght

    Software: Will AI trigger a SaaSpocalypse?

    Artificial Intelligence agents are moving beyond assistance and into execution. The emergence of AI agents such as Claude Cowork has intensified a debate among investors: could parts of the SaaS ecosystem risk structural disintermediation?
  • Research Paper, Lucia Meloni, Emma Miguel Unzue, ESG, SRI

    Brand Values: Unravelling Luxury Goods Risks

    If brand value is image, reputation, and a track record of quality, the higher the price of the product, the more important that image is for pricing and profit. And the more susceptible to negative news which might affect that image.
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Research Paper, Bertrand Dardenne, Alternative Investments, Economic Outlook, Geopolitics

Unlock the Potential of Merger Arbitrage

Merger Arbitrage is a sophisticated investment strategy that capitalizes on the price difference between a target company's stock price in the market and the acquisition price during mergers and acquisitions.
Research Paper, Pieter-Jan Inghelbrecht, Johann Mauchand, Steeve Brument, Alternative Investments, Portfolio Construction, Economic Outlook

Restoring Diversification

We have previously examined the equity/bond allocation and asked, ‘Is 40/30/30 the new 60/40?’ Well, yes, we think it is. Our work shows a long-term correlation between equities and fixed income that is frighteningly close to 1.0. This increased correlation fundamentally alters the effectiveness of traditional portfolio construction.
Research Paper, Bertrand Dardenne, Félix Schlang, Alternative Investments, Economic Policy, Geopolitics

Trump 2.0 and Merger Arbitrage - Green light from the White House?

As we enter 2025, the arrival of a new President in the White House is generating a great deal of uncertainty. Merger arbitrage (M&A) strategies are no exception to the question: What impact can we expect from the change of administration on this asset class ?
Research Paper, Damien Vergnaud, Alternative Investments

Understanding and anticipating index recompositions is essential

Damien Vergnaud, portfolio manager in Candriam's alternative strategies team, presents his study on index rebalancing. It highlights the effects of these transactions on investors' portfolios, and the importance of anticipating them by combining various approaches.
Fabrice Sauzeau, Alternative Investments, Fixed Income, Private Debt, Research Paper, Real Estate

Real Estate Private Debt: Time to Act?

Has commercial real estate reached its inflection point? With little transaction activity, price and index data are generated with a lag. Market prices can change much more rapidly than they can be aggregated and reported. Investors must rely on fundamental analysis and experience more than data to time the recovery.
Research Paper, Johann Mauchand, Alternative Investments, Asset Allocation

Alternative strategies: Is 40/30/30 the new 60/40?

2022 was a landmark year for monetary policy, with Central banks shifting priority from supporting growth to taming inflation.
Research Paper, Alternative Investments, Johann Mauchand, Steeve Brument, CTA

CTAs throughout the business cycle : a form of economic rationality?

With the onset of the inflationary cycle and the change in central bank monetary policy, markets have entered a new paradigm, leaving investors uncertain as to the direction that markets will take next, and the timing of the transition into the next phase of the economic cycle.
CTA, Alternative Investments, Asset Allocation, Johann Mauchand, Research Paper, Steeve Brument

Smile! CTA convexity is not lost…

If the smile measures how the portfolio value reacts to changes in the underlying markets, then maybe we should measure the smiles – and this is what our investment team has been doing.
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