Monthly Coffee Break, Fixed Income

Moderately positive on US rates

We continue to view the labour market as the key determinant for US rates. If employment stabilises, we expect the long end of the curve – particularly maturities beyond ten years – to move higher.
Monthly Coffee Break, Equities

Resilient third-quarter corporate earnings

Despite mixed Q3 earnings, European equities closed higher in October, reaching new all-time highs, as macro data showed signs of improvement. In the Eurozone, Q3 GDP surprised to the upside at 0.2% QoQ (vs 0.1% expected and prior) but reflected large discrepancies across countries: Germany and Italy lagged, while France and Spain posted stronger-than-expected growth.
Monthly Coffee Break, Alternative Investments

The big beautiful unbelievable rally

Contrarian voices grew louder in October while Nvidia’s Jensen Huang warned that “China will win the AI race”. Nonetheless, October proved positive for hedge funds, despite brief market volatility tied to US-China trade developments.
Monthly Coffee Break, Asset Allocation

The fog is slowly lifting

Global markets enter November with better visibility than at any point this year – growth stronger than expected, inflation lower than expected and policy still broadly supportive.
Coffee Break

Coffee Break - The Great Reopening

The fog is lifting but uncertainty about US data publication persists: We will learn when the delayed economic data will finally be released.
Private Debt

Private Debt: Predictable Real Returns

Does it seem as though we, and our investments, are living in uncertain times? With its scheduled cash flows, private debt may provide a predictable and reliable instrument within your overall asset allocation.
Coffee Break

Markets in search of signal as the shutdown drags on

Markets extended their winning streak in October, ushering in stocks’ historically strongest quarter — the most wonderful time of the year. Momentum tends to build gradually: a modest October, a livelier November, and a December that often decides how wonderful the season truly is.
Coffee Break

Coffee Break - The most wonderful time of the year

Markets extended their winning streak in October, ushering in stocks’ historically strongest quarter — the most wonderful time of the year. Momentum tends to build gradually: a modest October, a livelier November, and a December that often decides how wonderful the season truly is.
Coffee Break

Coffee Break - A bumper week

The upcoming days will bring a flurry of top-down macro and bottom-up micro events, setting up the scene for the final weeks of 2025.
Fixed Income, Charudatta Shende

Credit Markets: Strength Beneath the Surface, Caution Above It

Global credit markets have entered the final quarter of 2025 in remarkably good shape. Corporate fundamentals remain robust: earnings across sectors have generally surprised to the upside, leverage is low, and balance sheets are strong, in contrast to sovereign balance sheets, where leverage remains elevated.
Research Paper, Alix Chosson, Elouan Heurard, ESG, SRI, Biodiversity

Can We Assess Companies’ Ecological Debt? And How?

While, according to the World Economic Forum, half of the global GDP is dependent on nature, biodiversity is experiencing an extinction that challenges the resilience of our economies. Deterioration of air, water and soil quality, decline in ecosystem services such as pollination: the physical impacts of this loss of biodiversity are already putting our economies under pressure.
Equities

Buoyant month for equities

European equities rose in September, buoyed by broader global gains supported by the Fed’s rate cut.
Asset Allocation

Shut Down or Melt Up

Economic signals remain uneven, data visibility is clouded by the US government shutdown, and inflation is edging higher again.
Alternative Investments

This market is Gold!

September broke with its reputation for subdued volatility as global risk assets extended their summer rally.
Asset Allocation, Nadège Dufossé

France – Institutional Paralysis Likely to Persist

Since last Sunday (October 5), France has been plunged into a new political crisis — unprecedented under the Fifth Republic. Prime Minister Sébastien Lecornu resigned just a few hours after forming his government, due to partisan deadlock and his inability to build a stable majority.
Research Paper, Fixed Income, Diquel Dos Santos, Portfolio Construction

CoCo bonds: insights from a credit specialist

Candriam has long been recognised for its leadership in ESG, but our reputation is equally rooted in deep credit expertise — analysing not just issuers, but the entire architecture of financial markets. This perspective is particularly critical in complex areas such as bank capital, where instruments like CoCos play a decisive role.
Coffee Break

Coffee Break - A good start to Q4

Following the election of Shinjiro Koizumi as new LDP leader, the extraordinary Diet session to elect Japan's new prime minister will be scheduled swiftly.
Healthcare, ESG, SRI

Why healthcare, why now?

On Tuesday, September 30, the pharmaceutical industry issued its first formal response to President Trump’s recent letter on drug pricing, announcing a deal between Pfizer and the US administration.
ESG, SRI, Oncology, Healthcare

From uncertainty to growth: why invest in healthcare?

As we enter the month of October, investors are faced with an obvious question: is the time right for new investments in the oncology sector? Pasquale Sansone, Senior Biotechnology Analyst, shares his analysis and convictions.
Coffee Break

Coffee Break - Shut down

As a US government shutdown is potentially just days away, focus is turning to the question of whether this will be a “short” or a “long” shutdown.

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