Fixed Income

Fixed Income, Monthly Coffee Break

Recession remains unlikely in the euro zone

April saw positive performances for risky markets, with equities and convertible bonds outperforming, followed by high yield. Government bonds underperformed across most major markets except Japan. We also saw a recovery of subordinated and CoCo bonds to the detriment of more senior issues.
Nicolas Forest, Equities, Fixed Income, Macro, Asset Allocation

Which way will Turkey turn?

With the upcoming 2023 Turkish presidential election, scheduled to take place on 14 May, we are sharing our views and sentiments on the possible outcomes and their consequences.
Fixed Income, Monthly Coffee Break

High Yield and Convertibles led Fixed Income Markets

In March, markets were driven by the strong performance of most asset classes, confirming a general trend year-to-date in which investors in most major asset classes have been rewarded with positive returns.
Asset Allocation, Fixed Income, Equities

Impact of Credit Suisse takeover

Portfolios managed by Candriam have no exposure to any Credit Suisse security, OTC exposure or stock-lending exposure.
Fixed Income, Monthly Coffee Break

The return of decorrelation between risky assets and rates

In the weeks to mid-March, the dominating theme was perhaps the return of decorrelation between risky assets and rates. All G4 sovereign issuers saw falls in their 10-year yields, while major equity indices all took hits. Credit spreads also widened.
Fixed Income, Monthly Coffee Break

A sense of relief

The beginning of the year provided some relief to global investors and allowed them to claw back some of the losses they suffered in the previous year.
Fixed Income, Fabrice Sauzeau

Inflation and insurers: solutions for a new regime

“Nowhere has it been considered a disastrous indirect tax is created by constantly rising inflation, nor what the results are.” (Welche vernichtende indirekte Steuer zudem in der fortschreitenden Papiergeldinflation liegt, wird übrigens an keiner Stelle berücksichtigt – Rudolf Havenstein, 1922
Fixed Income, Monthly Coffee Break

Signs of weakening inflation

Market exuberance continued in December and through the first days of January, as risky assets posted a strong performance, once again on the back of signs of weakening inflation and the hope that central banks would strike a less hawkish tone.
Fixed Income, Monthly Coffee Break

First true relief of the year

After a bruising first 10 months in 2022 that saw fixed income investors suffering near-record losses in most asset classes, November offered the first true relief of the year.
Diliana Deltcheva, Fixed Income, Emerging Markets

Our 2023 Emerging Markets Debt Market Outlook

The macro environment in 2023 is likely to remain challenging for emerging market debt, especially in the first half of the year.
Fixed Income, Monthly Coffee Break

Mixed picture

October offered a mixed picture following a bruising first three quarters. The Bloomberg Global Aggregate Index was down 0.55%, driven primarily by losses in US Treasuries. However, investors in some segments of the credit markets, especially EUR HY, USD HY and to a lesser extent EUR IG did see positive performance. Most Inflation-Linked Bonds markets with the exception of the US also rallied on persistently high inflation.
Emerging Markets, Fixed Income, Richard Briggs, Sovereign Sustainability

Lula’s Amazon stance appeals but will he deliver on the economy?

Luiz Inacio Lula da Silva narrowly won the second round of Brazil’s election, beating incumbent Jair Bolsonaro. Initial fears that Bolsonaro wouldn’t accept the result, particularly if it was tight, have receded. Bolsonaro said that he would follow the constitution and play by the rules, while his chief of staff, acknowledged the defeat.
Fixed Income, Nicolas Forest

Budget, monetary policy... The match is on!

It is rather unusual for a President of the French Republic to openly criticise European monetary policy. A guardian of monetary orthodoxy, the European Central Bank’s (ECB) mandate is well known by all: to keep inflation close to 2%, regardless of budgetary policy.
Fixed Income, Monthly Coffee Break

UK gilts in the eye of the storm

After registering losses in August, there was no reprieve for fixed income investors in September. All major asset classes posted negative returns, with the biggest falls coming in UK gilts.
Fixed Income, Monthly Coffee Break

Negative performance across the board

After a respite in July, August saw negative performances across the board for almost all asset classes. In G10 rates, investors in Japan suffered the least (-0.97%), whilst the UK posted the largest losses (-6.36%), followed by EMU peripherals at –5.34%. EMU core markets fared somewhat better at -4.71%, but with a sizeable distance away from US government bonds at -2.73%. Breakevens were positive across the board, although barely so in the eurozone.
Fixed Income, Nicolas Forest

Global Sovereign Bond Yield - Catch them while you can!

Recent rises in inflation -- to levels not seen in decades -- have negatively affected returns across most asset classes. Rate rises have been some of the steepest seen in many decades. In the current environment, as we move further into resolute central bank tightening, we may see a considerable cooling down in global economies.
Fixed Income, Monthly Coffee Break

Geopolitical tensions continue to weigh on investor sentiment

The performance of financial markets improved in May, with US markets posting a positive performance for the first time this year. Equities rebounded from their lows of May 19th and the greenback weakened while EUR/USD rebounded towards 1.07.
Fixed Income, Nicolas Forest

ECB Hike

The time was July 2011. Despite the eurozone debt crisis, Jean-Claude Trichet raised the ECB’s key rate to 1.50%. He needed to combat inflation, which was dangerously close to... 2.50%. We all know what followed, traumatising many a bond investor facing deflation in Europe and the debt crisis in the weaker European nations.
Fixed Income, Monthly Coffee Break

High volatility

The performance of the fixed income asset class was impacted by geopolitics, the rise in inflation and the generally hawkish stance of central banks.
Video, ESG, Fixed Income, SRI, Céline Deroux

Creating tangible change

Lucia Meloni and Céline Deroux share their views about the changes we need to make in business and mindsets to reach a sustainable future.

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