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2023 Symphony for a new dawn

The Candriam Outlook is back: 22 papers covering all our investment expertise will be produced and displayed all throughout the month of December, in an Advent calendar format.
  • ESG, Facial Recognition, Sophie Deleuze, SRI

    Facial recognition and human rights: Research Paper

    It is estimated that one billion surveillance cameras are in operation[i]. The United Nations Guiding Principles on Business and Human Rights (UNGPs) urge companies to respect human rights and correct abuses when they occur. They call on companies to conduct human rights due diligence to “know and show” they respect human rights through their own activities, and the activities directly linked to their products, services, operations, and through their business relationships.
  • Asset Allocation, Macro, Nadège Dufossé, Thibaud Marie-Regnault, Video

    Overloaded by the sheer number of forecasts at the moment?

    Despite this wealth of information – or perhaps because of too much information? – maybe you are still uncertain.  We can help you organize and develop your views, in a 20-minute video. Our economists and strategists will try to clarify the economic and financial risks.
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Fixed Income, Monthly Coffee Break

Mixed picture

October offered a mixed picture following a bruising first three quarters. The Bloomberg Global Aggregate Index was down 0.55%, driven primarily by losses in US Treasuries. However, investors in some segments of the credit markets, especially EUR HY, USD HY and to a lesser extent EUR IG did see positive performance. Most Inflation-Linked Bonds markets with the exception of the US also rallied on persistently high inflation.
Fixed Income, Richard Briggs, Sovereign Sustainability

Lula’s Amazon stance appeals but will he deliver on the economy?

Luiz Inacio Lula da Silva narrowly won the second round of Brazil’s election, beating incumbent Jair Bolsonaro. Initial fears that Bolsonaro wouldn’t accept the result, particularly if it was tight, have receded. Bolsonaro said that he would follow the constitution and play by the rules, while his chief of staff, acknowledged the defeat.
Fixed Income, Nicolas Forest

Budget, monetary policy... The match is on!

It is rather unusual for a President of the French Republic to openly criticise European monetary policy. A guardian of monetary orthodoxy, the European Central Bank’s (ECB) mandate is well known by all: to keep inflation close to 2%, regardless of budgetary policy.
Fixed Income, Monthly Coffee Break

UK gilts in the eye of the storm

After registering losses in August, there was no reprieve for fixed income investors in September. All major asset classes posted negative returns, with the biggest falls coming in UK gilts.
Fixed Income, Monthly Coffee Break

Negative performance across the board

After a respite in July, August saw negative performances across the board for almost all asset classes. In G10 rates, investors in Japan suffered the least (-0.97%), whilst the UK posted the largest losses (-6.36%), followed by EMU peripherals at –5.34%. EMU core markets fared somewhat better at -4.71%, but with a sizeable distance away from US government bonds at -2.73%. Breakevens were positive across the board, although barely so in the eurozone.
Fixed Income, Nicolas Forest

Global Sovereign Bond Yield - Catch them while you can!

Recent rises in inflation -- to levels not seen in decades -- have negatively affected returns across most asset classes. Rate rises have been some of the steepest seen in many decades. In the current environment, as we move further into resolute central bank tightening, we may see a considerable cooling down in global economies.
ESG, Fixed Income, Research Paper, Vincent Compiègne

Sustainable bonds: focus on outcomes

Sustainable bonds are increasingly used to fund specific environmental and social projects, and other sustainable activities. The growth of the sustainable bonds market has been underpinned by issuance from central and regional governments, supranational organisations and corporates.

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