Podcasts

Numerous statistics are being published on the performance of financial markets in the run-up to the US elections. US presidential elections do not occur often enough to generate statistically significant data, but we generally observe an increase in volatility from the summer preceding the election date, with range-bound markets. After the election, the uncertainty usually subsides, and the promises of the future new president may generate an end-of-year rally.

Demographic shifts, from ageing populations to rising middle classes, present long-term, diversified investment opportunities, as these structural changes are reshaping the global economy.

In the run up to the November 2024 US elections, our special correspondent in the US, Lauren Goodwin, Chief Market Strategist at our parent company New York Life Investments, shares her analysis on the campaigns and how US investors are navigating the environment. Every two weeks. Make sure to visit our US Chronicles !

China is due to release a series of data covering inflation, vehicle sales, balance of trade with imports and exports, as expectations of a recovery in consumer confidence are rising.

The steady rise in massive deficits and debt-to-GDP ratios has made public debt a staple of the financial press. However, in the wake of European elections and the opening of excessive deficit procedures, this topic - neglected by previous governments - is once again becoming a political issue. By 2025, there will be no getting around the issue of fiscal rebalancing in developed countries.

Over the last 2 years Central Banks-driven rates hikes have deeply impacted the High Yield markets globally.

The US job report will give insight into the health of the US labour market, consumer confidence and spending, both highly linked to employment levels and the trajectory of upcoming Fed cuts.

Before the measures recently announced, China was confronted with significant deflationary forces and was struggling to meet its 5% GDP growth target. Youth unemployment rate reached 24%, consumer confidence has been at rock bottom levels for years, household consumption has remained well below pre-pandemic trends and the real estate market has been falling for four years.