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The ECB: From Crisis Fighter to Liquidity Maestro?

Research Paper, Fixed Income, Pierre Boyer
The European Central Bank (ECB) has undergone a significant transformation, evolving from a passive observer to a proactive guardian of financial stability in the eurozone. As the ECB normalises its monetary policy after a period of unconventional measures, a key challenge has emerged: managing excess liquidity. This paper explores the ECB's evolving role in addressing this challenge.
  • Once upon a time, mankind invented PFAS (per- and polyfluoroalkyl substances).
    Bastien Dublanc, Astrid Pierard, Jessica Carlier, ESG, SRI, Equities, Research Paper, Water

    PFAS: Genius gone wrong

    PFAS have been widely used for decades due to their unique properties in various domestic and industrial applications. They are resistant to water and virtually indestructible. They are also seen as the poison of the century. Where do we stand in terms of regulation? What are the PFAS-related risks? Where are the opportunities?
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Asset Allocation, Macro, Equities, Fixed Income, Nicolas Forest, Nadège Dufossé, Emile Gagna

Update on Middle East Tensions

On April 13, Iran decided to strike Israel with 300 drones and missiles following an attack on its diplomatic compound in Syria. Regional escalation and oil price are at risk. This tail risk cannot be ignored. We are closely monitoring the unfolding situation.
Emile Gagna, Macro, Inflation

Powell’s last mile of a long journey

After peaking in the summer of 2022, inflation in the United States has fallen back sharply. Despite the fact that disinflation is now well underway, previous episodes in our series have highlighted the fact that the US economy has not yet returned to the softness of 2 % inflation...
Macro, Emile Gagna, Inflation

The heatmap, a summary of inflationary pressures: illustration for the United States

In the United States, the disinflation process is clearly underway, as the heatmap below illustrates: the "supply chain tensions " and " freight costs " components have turned green since the second half of 2022, even if the recent tensions in the Red Sea are starting to show! In the course of 2023, commodity and producer prices followed suit.
Macro, Inflation, Emile Gagna

Euro zone: labour market still tight

As in the United States, the labour market is tight in the eurozone. However, the nature of the tensions is quite different.
Macro, Inflation, Emile Gagna

United States: job market still tight

Wage trends, reflecting tensions on the labour market, play an important role in the formation of prices, particularly for services.
Macro, Inflation, Emile Gagna

At the heart of inflation

On both sides of the Atlantic, inflation was undoubtedly an important theme throughout 2023.
Nadège Dufossé, Florence Pisani, Asset Allocation, Macro, Equities, Fixed Income, Outlook 2023

Candriam’s Outlook 2023

It's back-to-school time, and time for investment decisions... Will the US fall into recession?
Nadège Dufossé, Thibaut Dorlet, Thibaud Marie-Regnault, Asset Allocation, Macro, Equities, Fixed Income, Outlook 2023

Candriam’s Mid-Year Outlook

As we reach the halfway point of the year, it seems that recession may be avoided on both sides of the Atlantic, but growth forecasts remain weak...

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