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Paulo Salazar, Emerging Markets, Equities, Geopolitics

De-escalation reinforces the case for emerging markets

The US-Iran framework deal announced on Sunday and the broader de-escalation that it offers reinforces a macro backdrop that should be attractive for emerging markets (EM). We believe that if this agreement succeeds, the potential for lower geopolitical risk, softer oil prices, easing inflation pressures and a weaker USD provide a constructive environment for EM.
Research Paper, Equities, Geopolitics, Infrastructure, Johan Van der Biest, Ken Van Weyenberg

Geopolitical fragmentation, investing in a multipolar world

Geopolitical Fragmentation | Europe’s Investment Moment | Candriam Discover how Europe’s drive for strategic autonomy is reshaping global investing. Read Candriam’s latest research and explore our European Autonomy Fund.
Research Paper, Bertrand Dardenne, Alternative Investments, Economic Outlook, Geopolitics

Unlock the Potential of Merger Arbitrage

Merger Arbitrage is a sophisticated investment strategy that capitalizes on the price difference between a target company's stock price in the market and the acquisition price during mergers and acquisitions.
Nadège Dufossé, Asset Allocation, Macro, Geopolitics, Economic Policy

The Law of the Strongest

As we write these lines, the US market is approaching its historical peak, last reached in February 2025, and most asset classes have posted positive returns in local currency since the start of the year.
US elections, Asset Allocation, Macro, Economic Policy, Geopolitics, Florence Pisani, Emile Gagna, Lauren Goodwin

Trump’s Economic Policy

The election of Donald Trump, coupled with the Republican Party's control of both houses of Congress, has resulted in a new political landscape in the United States. What key decisions must the new administration make? What impact will these decisions have on the macroeconomic environment, financial markets and investors?
ESG, SRI, Equities, Fixed Income, Geopolitics

The complexities of investing in defence

According to the Institute for Economics & Peace, there are 56 active conflicts in the world, the greatest number since the end of World War II. Increasingly complex geopolitics and ReArm Europe are keeping investors on our toes, analytically.
Asset Allocation, Geopolitics, Economic Policy

Update on US Liberation Day

Since his return to the White House, Trump has announced a series of country or sectoral tariff increases. If we combine all the measures announced before 2 April (20% on China, 25% on Canada and Mexico with exemption for goods that comply with the USMCA , 25% on steel and aluminum and 25% on automobiles and parts), the average tariff rate on US imports was on course to reach 11% from 2.5% end of 2024.
Asset Allocation, Macro, Infrastructure, Geopolitics

Update on ReArm Europe

Released last September, former ECB President Mario Draghi’s report urged the EU to revive and boost its competitiveness. At the end of January, the European Commission presented the Competitiveness Compass to allow Europe to revive economic growth and secure prosperity.

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