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The Law of the Strongest

Asset Allocation, Nadège Dufossé, Macro
As we write these lines, the US market is approaching its historical peak, last reached in February 2025, and most asset classes have posted positive returns in local currency since the start of the year.
  • Research Paper, Fixed Income, Bob Maes, Philippe Dehoux

    Euro Swap Spreads : Unpacking Asset Classes

    You want to talk about euro swap spreads versus US swap spreads? We watch that, too. But to be honest, that graph is one of the last things we look at when managing euro fixed income aggregate portfolios. So if you want to see it, you’ll have to read all the rest of this page first.
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  • Asset Allocation
Asset Allocation, Nadège Dufossé, Macro

The Law of the Strongest

As we write these lines, the US market is approaching its historical peak, last reached in February 2025, and most asset classes have posted positive returns in local currency since the start of the year.
Asset Allocation, Macro, Emile Gagna, Florence Pisani

Slowdown on the Horizon…

Despite rising geopolitical tensions, the global economy showed surprising resilience in early 2025, and inflation continued to normalise.
Monthly Coffee Break, Asset Allocation

A Summer of Catalysts

The global economy remains in a delicate state of balance. The US and China have agreed to a 90-day tariff rollback but uncertainty remains high, especially with the US still imposing significant duties.
Asset Allocation

De-escalation following Escalation

The global economic cycle is not ending yet – it is reshaping. Following a volatile first quarter and trade escalation at the start of April, May 2025 shows de-escalation amid numerous trade tariff headlines.
US elections, Asset Allocation, Macro, Florence Pisani, Emile Gagna, Lauren Goodwin

Trump’s Economic Policy

The election of Donald Trump, coupled with the Republican Party's control of both houses of Congress, has resulted in a new political landscape in the United States. What key decisions must the new administration make? What impact will these decisions have on the macroeconomic environment, financial markets and investors?
Asset Allocation

Tax Americana

April 2025 marks a turning point in the global economic narrative. In the wake of the United States’ sharp tariff escalation – dubbed “Liberation Day” – investors are confronting the ripple effects of a protectionist revival.
Asset Allocation

Update on US Liberation Day

Since his return to the White House, Trump has announced a series of country or sectoral tariff increases. If we combine all the measures announced before 2 April (20% on China, 25% on Canada and Mexico with exemption for goods that comply with the USMCA , 25% on steel and aluminum and 25% on automobiles and parts), the average tariff rate on US imports was on course to reach 11% from 2.5% end of 2024.

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