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The Law of the Strongest

Asset Allocation, Nadège Dufossé, Macro
As we write these lines, the US market is approaching its historical peak, last reached in February 2025, and most asset classes have posted positive returns in local currency since the start of the year.
  • Research Paper, Fixed Income, Bob Maes, Philippe Dehoux

    Euro Swap Spreads : Unpacking Asset Classes

    You want to talk about euro swap spreads versus US swap spreads? We watch that, too. But to be honest, that graph is one of the last things we look at when managing euro fixed income aggregate portfolios. So if you want to see it, you’ll have to read all the rest of this page first.
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Florence Pisani, Emile Gagna, Outlook

Central banks remain cautious

At the start of summer 2024, growth continues, but its pace remains uneven across countries and regions. China is still facing deflationary pressures, the eurozone is making slow progress, while growth in the United States, still close to 2% , seems to be slowing a little. Wherever inflationary pressures have been felt, they have continued to abate over the months, paving the way for a cautious easing of monetary policy.
Nadège Dufossé, Outlook

Winds of change

Our allocation strategy for the second half of the year is based on an economic environment that remains favorable for equities, and is improving for bonds.
Charudatta Shende, Emerging Markets, Fixed Income, Outlook, Credit

Our 2024 Emerging Markets Debt Market Outlook

With 2024 underway, many bond investors are still wondering how the environment for Emerging Markets debt will differ from that of 2023.. Indeed, it looks more benign for Emerging Market Debt ….

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