Markets will digest the US election result and its likely policy implications.
In the euro zone, the estimated GDP growth rate as well as preliminary data on employment change will keep the focus on the region’s fundamentals.
The long-awaited and highly commented on US elections take place. Even though Donald Trump recently gained some momentum over Kamala Harris, the race is still expected to be very tight.
The US earnings season will feature reports from Meta, Tesla, Microsoft, and Amazon.
Global Flash PMI will provide a snapshot of economic activity in manufacturing and services. Besides the early insight into economic trends, this data allows for a valuable international comparison.
The euro zone will be in the spotlight with an ECB interest rate decision to support the faltering economy.
In the US, preliminary building permits and housing starts, mortgage applications, and speeches by various FOMC members will keep investors focused on the next monetary policy move.
In China, data on the house price index, the GDP growth rate, retail sales and the unemployment rate are likely to start reflecting soon a recovery in consumer confidence.
The third-quarter earnings season for S&P 500 companies kicks off, with Johnson & Johnson, Taiwan Semiconductor Manufacturing Company and big US banks, set to announce their results.
China is due to release a series of data covering inflation, vehicle sales, balance of trade with imports and exports, as expectations of a recovery in consumer confidence are rising.
The US job report will give insight into the health of the US labour market, consumer confidence and spending, both highly linked to employment levels and the trajectory of upcoming Fed cuts.
All eyes will be on the Federal Reserve Bank meeting. A rate cut is as good as done and the Fed can surprise with a dovish stance but it cannot surprise with a hawkish one.
The next US job report is the key set of data that will determine the rate path in the near term, starting with the size of the September Fed funds cut.
In the US, several data points such as retail sales, consumer sentiment and inflation data will provide further insight into the US economy’s resilience.
The earnings season continues, featuring reports from Zalando, Walt Disney, and Super Micro Computer, as the market digests the weaker-than-expected labour market.
US president Joe Biden will address the US nation as he is not seeking reelection and is officially endorsing VP Kamala Harris. While it will carry weight with delegates at the Democratic convention, it is not binding.
In the UK, the King's Speech will introduce legislation for independent fiscal forecasts, reinforcing the Labour party's commitment to fiscal discipline, which should whet investors’ appetite.
The Republican National Convention begins in Milwaukee, where Donald Trump is set to announce his vice-presidential pick.
In addition to the start of the Q2 earnings season, the US consumer will remain in the spotlight with publications on the CPI and preliminary sentiment survey results.
With jobless claims trending up, investors will carefully examine the US job report.
The euro zone inflation, consumers and global activity will remain in the spotlight with the release of the preliminary Euro Area CPI, Euro Area retail sales and final global PMI.
General elections in the UK and the 2nd round of legislative elections in France will take place.
The Chinese Communist Party's central committee will meet for its 3rd plenum.
The focus will be on inflation as preliminary readings from a handful of EU members, final readings from Canada, Japan’s CPI and the US PCE are due.
Mortgage applications, new home sales and house price index in the US will give us the pulse of the real estate market.
The Bank of Japan’s Summary of Opinions will shed some light on the latest central bank policy meeting and its commitment to trim back JGB purchases.
On the political front, key events include the first US presidential debate between Donald Trump and Joe Biden, an EU leaders summit and the first round of the general election in France.
In the euro zone, the bump in inflation data will not derail the ECB’s plan to cut this week, though it reduces the likelihood of an immediate follow-on cut in July.
In the US, the FOMC minutes will be released, cementing the near-term monetary policy inclination of the Fed and Nvidia will report earnings for its fiscal first quarter of 2024.
Several developing countries’ central banks are meeting, including Indonesia, Mexico, South Korea and Turkey. All face the dilemma of a strong US dollar in their need for being accommodative.