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Since his return to the White House, Trump has announced a series of country or sectoral tariff increases. If we combine all the measures announced before 2 April (20% on China, 25% on Canada and Mexico with exemption for goods that comply with the USMCA , 25% on steel and aluminum and 25% on automobiles and parts), the average tariff rate on US imports was on course to reach 11% from 2.5% end of 2024.
  • Fixed Income, Charudatta Shende

    Credit Markets: Don’t get “Carry-ed” away

    Navigating fixed income markets can be a daunting task for those unfamiliar with their intricacies. A multitude of factors – fundamentals, valuations and technicals – can impact a wide range of instruments – sovereigns (developed & emerging), corporates (investment grade and high yield) –, contributing to a highly complex financial landscape.
  • Asset Allocation, Macro

    Update on ReArm Europe

    Released last September, former ECB President Mario Draghi’s report urged the EU to revive and boost its competitiveness. At the end of January, the European Commission presented the Competitiveness Compass to allow Europe to revive economic growth and secure prosperity.
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US elections, Asset Allocation, Macro, Florence Pisani, Emile Gagna

Trump’s Economic Policy

The election of Donald Trump, coupled with the Republican Party's control of both houses of Congress, has resulted in a new political landscape in the United States. What key decisions must the new administration make? What impact will these decisions have on the macroeconomic environment, financial markets and investors?
Charudatta Shende, Nicolas Jullien, Fixed Income, US elections

Ballots to Bonds

Following the US election, what will the bond landscape look like around the world in the near term and the medium term? President-elect Trump should be able to implement much of his political agenda over the next few years. We think four themes stand out: Tariffs, Regulations, Tax Cuts, and Immigration. What we don’t yet know is the timing and the magnitude of these elements.
US elections

US elections : Hear it directly from the US

In the run up to the November 2024 US elections, our special correspondent in the US, Lauren Goodwin, Chief Market Strategist at our parent company New York Life Investments, shares her analysis on the campaigns and how US investors are navigating the environment. Every two weeks. Make sure to visit our US Chronicles !
Nadège Dufossé, Florence Pisani, Asset Allocation, US elections

Update on US elections

Donald Trump heads back to the White House as the 47th President, with an increased likelihood of a Republican sweep. Yesterday (6 November), market reactions were strong, with US stocks hitting all-time highs, 10Y bond yields jumping to 4.5%, and the dollar surging against most currencies.
US elections, Nadège Dufossé

How should we position portfolios ahead of the US elections ?

Numerous statistics are being published on the performance of financial markets in the run-up to the US elections. US presidential elections do not occur often enough to generate statistically significant data, but we generally observe an increase in volatility from the summer preceding the election date, with range-bound markets. After the election, the uncertainty usually subsides, and the promises of the future new president may generate an end-of-year rally.
Nicolas Forest, Florence Pisani, US elections

Should we be afraid of the US elections ?

With the partisan divide hardening in the run-up to November 5, the presidential race was revived with the withdrawal of Joe Biden at the end of July. In just a few weeks, Kamala Harris has breathed new energy into the Democratic campaign.

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