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The Law of the Strongest

Asset Allocation, Nadège Dufossé, Macro
As we write these lines, the US market is approaching its historical peak, last reached in February 2025, and most asset classes have posted positive returns in local currency since the start of the year.
  • Research Paper, Fixed Income, Bob Maes, Philippe Dehoux

    Euro Swap Spreads : Unpacking Asset Classes

    You want to talk about euro swap spreads versus US swap spreads? We watch that, too. But to be honest, that graph is one of the last things we look at when managing euro fixed income aggregate portfolios. So if you want to see it, you’ll have to read all the rest of this page first.
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  • Sovereign Sustainability
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  • Sovereign Sustainability
Research Paper, ESG, SRI, Sovereign Sustainability, Vincent Compiègne, Kroum Sourov, Water

Water is more than just a resource

Climate change may be the greatest threat to sustainability, but water vulnerability is potentially the most urgent, likely to play out in a shorter time frame.
ESG, SRI, Kroum Sourov, Sovereign Sustainability, Research Paper, Wim Van Hyfte

Sustainability in the age of the grey swan

Grey swan is an event that is possible and known, potentially extremely significant but considered not very likely to happen.
Emerging Markets, Fixed Income, Sovereign Sustainability

Lula’s Amazon stance appeals but will he deliver on the economy?

Luiz Inacio Lula da Silva narrowly won the second round of Brazil’s election, beating incumbent Jair Bolsonaro. Initial fears that Bolsonaro wouldn’t accept the result, particularly if it was tight, have receded. Bolsonaro said that he would follow the constitution and play by the rules, while his chief of staff, acknowledged the defeat.
Research Paper, Kroum Sourov, Wim Van Hyfte, ESG, SRI, Sovereign Sustainability

Sovereign Analysis - Is the EU on Track for 2050 'Net Zero'?

In formalizing its 2050 carbon neutrality commitment, the EU Roadmap 2050 specifies goals and a roadmap for target emissions reductions and removals, scenarios, interim goals for 2030, and five-yearly progress reviews. While breakdowns of these targets by country are not yet set, the body of data available is already overwhelming. To create a manageable picture for investors, we discuss some of the assumptions and some of the key changes needed.
Research Paper, Sovereign Sustainability, Kroum Sourov, ESG, SRI, Wim Van Hyfte

The New Sovereign Sustainability Model

Pricing Sovereign Sustainability: A community already exists within finance which is committed to adding value for investors, while collectively changing the world. Both we and the next generation deserve nothing less.

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