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The Law of the Strongest

Asset Allocation, Nadège Dufossé, Macro
As we write these lines, the US market is approaching its historical peak, last reached in February 2025, and most asset classes have posted positive returns in local currency since the start of the year.
  • Research Paper, Fixed Income, Bob Maes, Philippe Dehoux

    Euro Swap Spreads : Unpacking Asset Classes

    You want to talk about euro swap spreads versus US swap spreads? We watch that, too. But to be honest, that graph is one of the last things we look at when managing euro fixed income aggregate portfolios. So if you want to see it, you’ll have to read all the rest of this page first.
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  • Steeve Brument
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  • Steeve Brument
Research Paper, Alternative Investments, Pieter-Jan Inghelbrecht, Johann Mauchand, Steeve Brument

Restoring Diversification

We have previously examined the equity/bond allocation and asked, ‘Is 40/30/30 the new 60/40?’ Well, yes, we think it is. Our work shows a long-term correlation between equities and fixed income that is frighteningly close to 1.0. This increased correlation fundamentally alters the effectiveness of traditional portfolio construction.
Outlook 2025, Steeve Brument, Bertrand Dardenne

M&A: Triple Trends for 2025?

As we head into 2025, the stars seem to be aligning for a revival of mergers and acquisitions, creating a fertile environment for investors seeking new opportunities. Merger arbitrage strategies attempt to capitalize on M&A activity by using a structured approach returns.
Research Paper, Alternative Investments, Johann Mauchand, Steeve Brument, CTA

CTAs throughout the business cycle : a form of economic rationality?

With the onset of the inflationary cycle and the change in central bank monetary policy, markets have entered a new paradigm, leaving investors uncertain as to the direction that markets will take next, and the timing of the transition into the next phase of the economic cycle.
Outlook 2023, Johann Mauchand, Steeve Brument, CTA

CTA's: "Ride of the Valkyries"

Hard landing or soft? From Draghi’s ‘’Whatever it takes” to Powell’s “Whatever it costs”, we know the markets are ready for exciting times. CTAs aim to face the next swing, whether it be hard landing or soft.
CTA, Alternative Investments, Asset Allocation, Johann Mauchand, Research Paper, Steeve Brument

Smile! CTA convexity is not lost…

If the smile measures how the portfolio value reacts to changes in the underlying markets, then maybe we should measure the smiles – and this is what our investment team has been doing.
Q&A, Steeve Brument, Equities, CTA, Alternative Investments

CTA - Commodity Trading Advisors*: A “trendy” investment?

Steeve Brument, Head of Quantitative Multi-Asset Strategies, Deputy Global Head of Multi-Asset, explains how a strategy invested in futures can deliver performance by harnessing the various market trends.
Research Paper, CTA, Alternative Investments, Asset Allocation, Steeve Brument, Johann Mauchand

Interest rates go up

After several decades of riding a government bonds bull market, investors are now looking for alternative drivers of return. Commodity Trading Advisor (CTA) strategies, with their ability to make gains in rising, as well as falling markets, have historically been able to improve risk-adjusted returns when introduced to a balanced portfolio. However, a question that investors can legitimately ask today is how are CTAs impacted by rising interest rates?
Steeve Brument

Steeve Brument

Global Head of Alternative Investments, Member of the Executive Committee

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