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Ahead of the Curve - An Investment Playbook for 2025

Outlook 2025
Throughout the month of December, we invite you to join us in analysing the main issues and perspectives on ten key questions that will impact investing in 2025: European and transatlantic monetary policies, the breakdown of the German economic model, the slowdown in European real estate, artificial intelligence, the banking sector... there will be no lack of challenges and opportunities, it's up to us to seize them together!
  • Charudatta Shende, Nicolas Jullien, Fixed Income, US elections

    Ballots to Bonds

    Following the US election, what will the bond landscape look like around the world in the near term and the medium term? President-elect Trump should be able to implement much of his political agenda over the next few years. We think four themes stand out: Tariffs, Regulations, Tax Cuts, and Immigration. What we don’t yet know is the timing and the magnitude of these elements.
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Viewpoints

Explore our latest articles and comments. Updated regularly, this section offers diverse perspectives and insights. Easily filter by tags such as authors, themes, and formats to find what interests you. Dive in and discover our viewpoints.

Asset Allocation in 2025: Between Optimism and Uncertainties

Outlook 2025, Nadège Dufossé
Global growth progresses in line with expectations, but the economic landscape remains fragmented. While activity is strong in the United States, the Eurozone is struggling to move forward, and China is penalised by weak consumption. Geopolitical tensions and the rise of political uncertainty in several countries risk exacerbating these divergences in 2025.

M&A: Triple Trends for 2025?

Outlook 2025, Steeve Brument, Bertrand Dardenne
As we head into 2025, the stars seem to be aligning for a revival of mergers and acquisitions, creating a fertile environment for investors seeking new opportunities. Merger arbitrage strategies attempt to capitalize on M&A activity by using a structured approach returns.
Outlook 2025, Alix Chosson, Tanguy Cornet

2025: the swan song for global climate action?

2024 concluded as another annus horribilis for climate action, with COP29 blowing “hot air”, reinforced geopolitical tensions overshadowing the climate crisis, and the re-election of Donald Trump in the U.S. We only have a couple of years left before spending the totality of the +1.5°C carbon budget. How will the recent political changes and global geopolitical tensions impact the transition?
Outlook 2025, Christopher Mey, Paulo Salazar

Is China ready for another Trump fight?

With Donald Trump returning to the White House in 2025, his second term is likely to see a resurgence of tariffs and export restrictions among other things, raising concerns about China's ability to withstand a resurgence of 'America First' policies.
Outlook 2025, Thibaut Dorlet, Nicolas Rutsaert, Nicolas Cleris

Diversify Your Portfolio Through the Commodity

As Donald Trump returns to White House, his policy agenda could send ripples through the global oil market. His trade wars and immigration stance are expected to fuel inflation, while his commitment to deregulation and to increasing US oil production pose new challenges for oil prices.
Johan Van der Biest, Vincent Compiègne, Alfred Sandeman, Outlook 2025

Hello ChatGPT: Will AI continue to surprise the world?

If investors are expected to be early in detecting future trends, then our community certainly thinks AI is the future. Will the surprises continue? To help train ChatGPT’s response, we analyse the tangible revenue that has emerged so far, and consider the ‘sweet spot’, the ‘runners-up’ and the ‘too early’.
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Monthly Coffee Break

Updated each month, this section provides expert analysis and strategic insights. Stay informed with our latest market perspectives and allocations.

  • Monthly Coffee Break, Equities

    A positive market response to the US elections results

    In November, European equities closed the month up. Excluding the UK, however, European equities fell marginally due to a combination of concerns about US trade policy and earnings warnings from the automotive and consumer goods sectors. Consumer weakness in China and within domestic markets was cited as the cause in both cases. A strong Financials performance supported UK equities (+2.5%).
  • Monthly Coffee Break, Alternative Investments

    From election uncertainty to policy uncertainty

    Although financial markets were already pricing a higher probability of a Donald Trump win coming into the US election, during November, asset prices were mainly driven by the election results.
  • Asset Allocation, Monthly Coffee Break

    Post-election realities

    The US election results were a significant market driver, with Donald Trump’s victory and the Republican majority in Congress boosting expectations of tax cuts, deregulation, expansionary fiscal policy and a stricter trade policy.

Explore

Find the latest research papers. Easily filter by tags such as authors, themes, and formats to access the information most relevant to you. Explore and enhance your understanding with Candriam's trusted research.

Research Paper, Alix Chosson, Elouan Heurard, Biodiversity

Biodiversity : ready to take up the challenge of biodiversity integration ?

Biodiversity challenges are multifaceted, involving intricate ecological, geographical, and social dimensions. Acknowledging this, Candriam’s biodiversity framework allows for a granular and effective approach of biodiversity integration.
Research Paper, ESG, SRI, Sovereign Sustainability, Vincent Compiègne, Kroum Sourov, Water

Water is more than just a resource

Climate change may be the greatest threat to sustainability, but water vulnerability is potentially the most urgent, likely to play out in a shorter time frame.
Research Paper, Climate Action, ESG, SRI, Alix Chosson

Net Zero Progress Report

We promised you transparency. For a comprehensive discussion of our efforts and results, see our [annual] Net Zero Progress Report 2024. We frequently say that it is not just the carbon target, but the path to that target which affects the damage along the way. In this spirit, we share with you along the way our milestones for the four pillars of our Net Zero strategy.
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Need a fresh perspective? Discover our selection of the hot topics and background pieces of the moment. Trending investment themes, expert views, in-depth analyses. The periodic recap of the topics that matter to you.

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