In the US, key data releases will include factory orders, ISM services, trade balance, as well as Q2 productivity and labour costs — all unfolding under the shadow of new tariffs taking effect on August 7.

Yields remain elevated across both U.S. and European markets, offering attractive carry for investors in both Investment Grade (IG) and High Yield (HY).

On Sunday, July 27, 2025, the EU and the US successfully concluded a trade agreement, paving the way for strengthened economic relations between the two regions. While initial reports caused some confusion, it now appears that most pharmaceutical products, excluding certain generics, will be subject to a 15% tariff.

The United States and the European Union have reached a trade deal that introduces a 15% blanket tariff on all EU goods imported into the US, along with additional EU commitments to purchase US energy and defense products. The agreement takes effect on Friday.

Flash PMIs for the US, euro zone, UK, and Japan will reveal July’s global economic momentum in manufacturing and services. These data points will influence central bank expectations and investor risk appetite across regions.

Inflation will be a central focus for global investors, with key reports expected from the US, UK, Canada, and Japan. US inflation data is expected to show an acceleration in June.

After the big bill last week, markets will focused on big tariffs as little clarity has emerged on what will happen as the tariff deadline looms.

Despite rising geopolitical tensions, the global economy showed surprising resilience in early 2025, and inflation continued to normalise.