Fixed Income

Charudatta Shende, Nicolas Jullien, Fixed Income, US elections

Ballots to Bonds

Following the US election, what will the bond landscape look like around the world in the near term and the medium term? President-elect Trump should be able to implement much of his political agenda over the next few years. We think four themes stand out: Tariffs, Regulations, Tax Cuts, and Immigration. What we don’t yet know is the timing and the magnitude of these elements.
Charudatta Shende, Fixed Income

High Yield, High Risks?

Over the last 2 years Central Banks-driven rates hikes have deeply impacted the High Yield markets globally.
Research Paper, ESG, SRI, Fixed Income, Dany da Fonseca, Vincent Compiègne, Patrick Zeenni

Beyond the Green Bond?

Ready for change?
Asset Allocation, Macro, Equities, Fixed Income, Nicolas Forest, Nadège Dufossé, Emile Gagna

Update on Middle East Tensions

On April 13, Iran decided to strike Israel with 300 drones and missiles following an attack on its diplomatic compound in Syria. Regional escalation and oil price are at risk. This tail risk cannot be ignored. We are closely monitoring the unfolding situation.
Charudatta Shende, Emerging Markets, Fixed Income, Outlook, Credit

Our 2024 Emerging Markets Debt Market Outlook

With 2024 underway, many bond investors are still wondering how the environment for Emerging Markets debt will differ from that of 2023.. Indeed, it looks more benign for Emerging Market Debt ….
Fixed Income, Credit, Nicolas Jullien

Looking for uncorrelated returns and controlled volatility to navigate credit markets?

In recent years, new structural trends have emerged, such as the polarization of the world, the re-localisation of supply chains, and the fight against climate change. These new trends are leading to higher inflation and lower growth. This new paradigm is having a significant impact on the financial situation of companies, and therefore on investment in corporate bonds. This calls for strategic adaptation on the part of investors. Adopting a strategy that aims to deliver a performance independent of credit market trends would therefore appear to be an investment solution worth considering in this new environment.
Patrick Zeenni, Fixed Income, ESG, SRI, Credit

A sweet spot for euro investment grade investors

After 2022, which covered the end of a decade of monetary policy loosening, 2023 has been the year of the repricing of the whole interest rate curve. The end of Central Banks’ "higher for longer" mantra supported a steepening of the yield curves and repriced real interest rates which are back now in positive territory, for the first time in close to ten years.
Money Market, Fixed Income, Pierre Boyer

Money Matters Again 

Remember money market strategies? They’re back!  Once the latest rate hike is incorporated, money market strategies can offer yields above 4%!  A record path and close to a record return in money market strategies since 2001.  Money market strategies have regained their popularity as central banks have hiked rates in their fight against inflation.  
Outlook 2023, Equities, Macro, Fixed Income, Nadège Dufossé, Florence Pisani

Winter is approaching...

Will the central banks of developed countries succeed in their bid to bring inflation back to their 2% target by the end of 2024... without triggering a recession? Can China still avoid deflation? After a few months of calm, aren't rising oil and agricultural prices likely to further complicate the task of central banks?
Nadège Dufossé, Florence Pisani, Asset Allocation, Macro, Equities, Fixed Income, Outlook 2023

Candriam’s Outlook 2023

It's back-to-school time, and time for investment decisions... Will the US fall into recession?
Fixed Income, Pierre Boyer, Money Market

Money markets II: A new generation

If you were intrigued by our June comment on the return of the money markets (Money markets...
Nadège Dufossé, Thibaut Dorlet, Thibaud Marie-Regnault, Asset Allocation, Macro, Equities, Fixed Income, Outlook 2023

Candriam’s Mid-Year Outlook

As we reach the halfway point of the year, it seems that recession may be avoided on both sides of the Atlantic, but growth forecasts remain weak...
Nicolas Forest, Equities, Fixed Income, Macro, Asset Allocation

Which way will Turkey turn?

With the upcoming 2023 Turkish presidential election, scheduled to take place on 14 May, we are sharing our views and sentiments on the possible outcomes and their consequences.
Asset Allocation, Fixed Income, Equities

Impact of Credit Suisse takeover

Portfolios managed by Candriam have no exposure to any Credit Suisse security, OTC exposure or stock-lending exposure.
Fixed Income, Fabrice Sauzeau

Inflation and insurers: solutions for a new regime

“Nowhere has it been considered a disastrous indirect tax is created by constantly rising inflation, nor what the results are.” (Welche vernichtende indirekte Steuer zudem in der fortschreitenden Papiergeldinflation liegt, wird übrigens an keiner Stelle berücksichtigt – Rudolf Havenstein, 1922
Emerging Markets, Fixed Income, Sovereign Sustainability

Lula’s Amazon stance appeals but will he deliver on the economy?

Luiz Inacio Lula da Silva narrowly won the second round of Brazil’s election, beating incumbent Jair Bolsonaro. Initial fears that Bolsonaro wouldn’t accept the result, particularly if it was tight, have receded. Bolsonaro said that he would follow the constitution and play by the rules, while his chief of staff, acknowledged the defeat.
Fixed Income, Nicolas Forest

Budget, monetary policy... The match is on!

It is rather unusual for a President of the French Republic to openly criticise European monetary policy. A guardian of monetary orthodoxy, the European Central Bank’s (ECB) mandate is well known by all: to keep inflation close to 2%, regardless of budgetary policy.
Fixed Income, Nicolas Forest

Global Sovereign Bond Yield - Catch them while you can!

Recent rises in inflation -- to levels not seen in decades -- have negatively affected returns across most asset classes. Rate rises have been some of the steepest seen in many decades. In the current environment, as we move further into resolute central bank tightening, we may see a considerable cooling down in global economies.

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