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Middle East Conflict

Since coordinated U.S. and Israeli strikes against Iran began on Saturday 28 February, the conflict has spread across the region.

These events introduce significant geopolitical uncertainty for the weeks ahead and heighten risks for financial markets and investors.

As the situation continues to evolve rapidly, we will regularly update this page with the latest analyses and insights from our experts to help you assess the implications for the global economy and asset allocation.

(In English only)

Asset Allocation

Latest Update: Monday March 09
(in English only)

Impact on Fixed Income

Latest Update: Friday March 06

Latest analyses

  • Monthly Coffee Break, Asset Allocation

    Digital Divide

    The major US equity indices have gone nowhere. Since the late-October peak in Technology, the S&P 500 has moved sideways, masking what has in fact been a decisive rotation. Energy has rallied more than 20%, Materials close to 20%, and Consumer Staples well into double digits. Technology, by contrast, is down roughly 11% over the same period.
  • Asset Allocation

    Battles on multiple fronts

    The year opens with a global economy that is neither stalling nor accelerating decisively, but increasingly shaped by overlapping and, at times, conflicting forces. Growth .
  • Asset Allocation

    Risk On, After All

    Global growth is slow but steady, AI is driving investment cycles, and central banks are backstopping risk. Explore our 2026 outlook: equity conviction, monetary policy shifts, and the evolving role of gold and EM debt in balanced portfolios.
  • Asset Allocation

    The fog is slowly lifting

    Global markets enter November with better visibility than at any point this year – growth stronger than expected, inflation lower than expected and policy still broadly supportive.
  • Asset Allocation

    Shut Down or Melt Up

    Economic signals remain uneven, data visibility is clouded by the US government shutdown, and inflation is edging higher again.
  • Asset Allocation, Nadège Dufossé

    France – Institutional Paralysis Likely to Persist

    Since last Sunday (October 5), France has been plunged into a new political crisis — unprecedented under the Fifth Republic. Prime Minister Sébastien Lecornu resigned just a few hours after forming his government, due to partisan deadlock and his inability to build a stable majority.
  • Nadège Dufossé, Asset Allocation

    Europe: From Early Lead to Inflection

    From January through the end of May, European equities reclaimed leadership. In local currency, the MSCI EMU beat the MSCI World by roughly six to seven percentage points, and the quality of that advance was unmistakably value-tilted: banks and insurers led from the front, with telecom services, utilities and industrials providing consistent breadth.
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